The presidential race is incredibly tight, a Republican pollster with ties to Lawton says, although a substantial Mitt Romney win isn't out of the question.
Ed Goeas said polls are trending toward Romney and there are three likely scenarios: a slim Romney win, a narrow victory by President Barack Obama, or a Romney win by four to five points. If he had to pick one of them, Goeas said, the last is the most likely.
Goeas, the son of a field artillery officer, attended Eisenhower Elementary School for a while and later returned to attend Cameron University, where he majored in speech and political science. He said he first became active in politics in 1964 when, at the age of 12, he volunteered to work for President Lyndon Johnson's campaign.
He remained a Democrat  he came from a Catholic Democratic family, he said  until Frank Keating  whom Goeas had met as governor of the Oklahoma Intercollegiate Legislature  convinced him to work for his congressional campaign. Goeas said he couldn't be a member of the same party as Richard Nixon, Goeas recalled, and shortly after Nixon resigned Keating called and asked him to run his campaign  but he would have to be a Republican.
Keating narrowly lost his race for Congress, but Goeas was in politics for good. Since then he's worked on a number of statewide and regional campaigns  and counts dozens of governors (including Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin), senators and congressmen among his clients  and on the campaigns of presidential candidates John McCain and Michelle Bachmann.

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